Rasmussen finally released the poll that we reported on last week, and it is worse than we thought for good old Senator Santorum. Casey is up by 23 points over Santorum -- 56 to 33 -- after falling, in some polls, to a little as 6 points ahead.
According to Rasmussen, only 67% of Republicans in the Commonwealth (which has majority Democratic registration), now say they will vote for the junior Senator's reelection. Even better for the Dems, Casey is now pulling 87% support from his majority party -- that is a ten-point gain since the last (pre-primary) poll put out by Rasmussen (and about equal to what Chuck Pennacchio pulled down in the May 16 face-off).
But wait, it gets worse for the Senator and better for the perennial Pennsylvania candidate, Bobby Casey Junior -- Senator Santorum's favorable rating is down to 42% and nearly half of his constituents view him unfavorably -- 47%. Nearly 6/10 Pennsylvanians have a favorable view of the challenger -- 59%.
Hard to see how things can get much better for Santorum -- according to Rasmussen, Pennsylvania voters -- by a wide margin -- prefer the Democrats over the Republicans on issues like the economy, energy policy, and Iraq.
Casey now has the race to lose and Santorum, well his anti-immigration policy makes more sense. Since he'll be looking for work soon, he needs to keep the competition out. (And, if I were a betting Slob, I'd give you 1,000 to 1 odds that, come December, the Santorum tribe will not be moving back into that little rental unit they own (and claim to live in) in Penn Hills. Boy, it was an incredibly stupid move for Santorum's boy-campaign manager to spend so much time on that faux incident -- all it did was remind people about Santorum's absentee representation.)
PS -- Just posted this on the Santorum Blog (worth checking into, they do one of the better jobs of covering the race), which wondered if this poll was a trend or an outlier:
According to Rasmussen, only 67% of Republicans in the Commonwealth (which has majority Democratic registration), now say they will vote for the junior Senator's reelection. Even better for the Dems, Casey is now pulling 87% support from his majority party -- that is a ten-point gain since the last (pre-primary) poll put out by Rasmussen (and about equal to what Chuck Pennacchio pulled down in the May 16 face-off).
But wait, it gets worse for the Senator and better for the perennial Pennsylvania candidate, Bobby Casey Junior -- Senator Santorum's favorable rating is down to 42% and nearly half of his constituents view him unfavorably -- 47%. Nearly 6/10 Pennsylvanians have a favorable view of the challenger -- 59%.
Hard to see how things can get much better for Santorum -- according to Rasmussen, Pennsylvania voters -- by a wide margin -- prefer the Democrats over the Republicans on issues like the economy, energy policy, and Iraq.
Casey now has the race to lose and Santorum, well his anti-immigration policy makes more sense. Since he'll be looking for work soon, he needs to keep the competition out. (And, if I were a betting Slob, I'd give you 1,000 to 1 odds that, come December, the Santorum tribe will not be moving back into that little rental unit they own (and claim to live in) in Penn Hills. Boy, it was an incredibly stupid move for Santorum's boy-campaign manager to spend so much time on that faux incident -- all it did was remind people about Santorum's absentee representation.)
PS -- Just posted this on the Santorum Blog (worth checking into, they do one of the better jobs of covering the race), which wondered if this poll was a trend or an outlier:
Gee, didn't think I'd be going out [on] a limb to call it a trend. Basically, Casey has picked up support from about 2/3rds of the supporters of his primary opponents.
After the primary, the 70% or so who only vote in winter months start tilting a head towards the TV, just a bit, when "that politics stuff" leaks out. This is where the "trend" for Santorum is -- those just starting to pay attention are writing off the Senator. Absent some major national-security kind of event, I think it will be near impossible for the Senator to get that train back on the track.
The Rasmussen results, a little dramatic, but in line with the (even more dramatic) right/wrong track numbers which SurveyUSA came out with a week or so ago -- 57% disapproved of the Senator according to that one.
I think this may be a short campaign season.
So, think Rick will move into the Penn Hills home in January? (me neither)
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